Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.168891 1.422078 1.747854 2.211823 2.881334 3.859195 5.500585
2025-12-07 0.840118 1.116435 1.526763 2.229290 3.530637 6.219712 14.010190
2025-12-14 0.660595 0.923351 1.348406 2.169195 3.998031 9.145292 38.916807
2025-12-21 0.555463 0.804726 1.233948 2.144001 4.518933 13.677817 186.977540
2025-12-28 0.507523 0.763160 1.233660 2.342278 5.865692 28.081236 NaN
2026-01-04 0.461431 0.712967 1.199539 2.445625 7.151971 60.190494 NaN
2026-01-11 0.416526 0.655607 1.134318 2.436299 8.069890 128.717091 NaN
2026-01-18 0.375504 0.598507 1.055727 2.353312 8.575914 276.706659 NaN
2026-01-25 0.349542 0.566110 1.023890 2.398422 10.027059 2189.929816 NaN
2026-02-01 0.331090 0.545493 1.013963 2.512618 12.469848 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.309051 0.514586 0.973045 2.500563 14.011083 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.286483 0.479964 0.916815 2.408313 14.584228 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.274508 0.466485 0.912355 2.525601 18.709545 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.259719 0.445418 0.884713 2.537176 21.847953 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.243708 0.420091 0.841663 2.462901 23.254351 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.230812 0.400331 0.810616 2.432253 25.932337 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.226901 0.399863 0.832364 2.671686 41.422351 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.219900 0.391684 0.830856 2.797254 59.739992 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.210273 0.376599 0.806724 2.785898 72.350228 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.199537 0.358112 0.769980 2.685055 75.591959 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.192957 0.348758 0.759492 2.739831 105.206593 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.188415 0.343766 0.761568 2.878925 187.767402 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.181395 0.332324 0.741824 2.864212 250.947920 NaN NaN